Iran War Update I: Oil at $100, Impact on the UK Economy, Russia Winning, and the Case for Energy Independence.
The Iran conflict has transformed the Strait of Hormuz into the world's most dangerous economic chokepoint, triggering an oil price shock above $100, a fertiliser and food security crisis, a destabilised UK mortgage market, and a Russian windfall — all landing on a UK economy that was already flatlining and uniquely ill-equipped to absorb another systemic blow.
Iran's Economic War: Why the UK Cannot Afford to Look Away
Iran’s use of sanctions resistance, energy leverage, and asymmetric economic tactics forms part of a broader “economic war” that reshapes trade flows, financial stability, and geopolitical influence. For the UK, this is not a distant foreign policy matter but a material economic and security concern.
The central message is clear: the UK cannot afford to look away. A more coordinated approach, integrating economic policy, national security, and diplomatic strategy, will be essential to manage the long-term risks.